Sunday, November 30, 2014

NCAA Week 15 Picks

Well, we have once again come to Championship Saturday and the finish of what has been one of the best college football seasons ever. It always amazes me how fast these three months go by, as there really is no sports season that I enjoy more than watching the College football season unfold. The only other college football season I recall being more enthralling than this one is 2008. All the people that said turning college football into a playoff system would dilute the excitement of the regular season were dead wrong, it only made it better. Next week we will be previewing the playoffs and also recap my favorite games and moments from this amazing season. One more week to enjoy with an exciting slate of very meaningful games, so lets get to it. I went 4-3 in Picking Big Ten Games this week, and a bad 2-4 outside it.

85-27 Big Ten
41-15 Interconference Big Ten
25-20 Outside Big Ten

Big Ten Championship Game: For the 4th time in the past 5 seasons, the Badgers will be playing their final game for the Big Ten Championship. When you look at the Badgers overall record over the past 10 seasons, it is simply amazing the Badgers have never had a crack at a National Championship. There is no doubt the Badgers have been one of the 5 best teams in the county over the past ten years overall. Look at every amazing team, Alabama, Auburn, Ohio St, Florida St, Oregon, Oklahoma, Georgia, they all have had 2-3 down seasons in the past ten years where they lost 5 or 6 games. When was the Badgers last down season? 2003. They haven't had a single bad season since 2004, not a single other team in the country can lay claim to that. Not one, I looked. Since the beginning of the 2004 season the Badgers have a 70-7 home record, only one of the other 125 other FBS schools can claim a better home record in that span, Oklahoma who is 71-6. It is truly an incredible run for a school who is not considered one of the prestigious schools in the country. Onto this game now, while I cant say I'm sad over the fact JT Barrett wont be playing this game, you are never happy to see a player go down with injury. I really have no idea how Ohio St will play with what amounts to their third string QB. My heart is in this pick a lot, but there is no denying from anyone that the Badgers will have the best player on the field on Saturday, and thats good enough for me. Pick: Wisconsin

SEC Champioship: Alabama Vs Missouri: Pick: Alabama
ACC Championship: Florida St Vs Georgia Tech: Pick: Georgia Tech
Pac-12 Championship: Oregon Vs Arizona: Pick: Oregon

Kansas St Vs Baylor: Pick: Baylor

What happens if Florida St and Alabama both lose? There could be extreme chaos among who makes the playoff. I am picking Florida St to lose because they are way past due for a loss. Assuming all my picks come to fruition my four team playoff would be

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. TCU
4. Baylor

The Big 12 doesn't have a championship game, so it has a full slate of regular season games, and with a three way tie going into the last week, the race is very much up in the air. Here's the 3 different scenarios for how each of those 3 teams can lay claim to the Big 12 Championship

Baylor Wins: Baylor Big 12 Champion
Baylor Loses, TCU Wins: TCU Big 12 Champion
Baylor Loses, TCU Loses: Kansas St Big 12 Champion

Here are the final standings for the other 4 conferences, starting with Big 10

West
1. Wisconsin: 7-1
2. Minnesota: 5-3
3. Nebraska: 5-3
4. Iowa: 4-4
5. Illinois: 3-5
6. Northwestern: 3-5
7. Purdue: 1-7

East
1. Ohio St: 8-0
2. Michigan St: 7-1
3. Maryland: 4-4
4. Rutgers: 3-5
5. Michigan: 3-5
6. Penn St: 2-6
7. Indiana: 1-7


SEC
East
1. Missouri: 7-1
2. Georgia: 6-2
3. Florida: 4-4
4. South Carolina: 3-5
5. Tennessee: 3-5
6. Kentucky: 2-6
7. Vanderbilt: 0-8

West
1. Alabama: 7-1
2. Mississippi St: 6-2
3. Ole Miss: 5-3
4. Auburn: 4-4
5. LSU: 4-4
6. Texas A&M: 3-5
7. Arkansas: 2-6


Pac-12
North
1. Oregon: 8-1
2. Stanford: 5-4
3. Washington: 4-5
4. California: 3-6
5. Washington St: 2-7
6. Oregon St: 2-7

South
1. Arizona: 7-2
2. UCLA: 6-3
3. Arizona St: 6-3
4. USC: 6-3
5. Utah: 5-4
6. Colorado: 0-9



ACC
Coastal
1. Georgia Tech: 6-2
2. Duke: 5-3
3. North Carolina: 4-4
4. Pitt: 4-4
5. Miami: 3-5
6. Virginia Tech: 3-5
7. Virginia: 3-5

Atlantic
1. Florida St: 8-0
2. Clemson: 6-2
3. Louisville: 5-3
4. Boston College: 4-4
5. NC State: 3-5
6. Wake Forest: 1-7
7. Syracuse: 1-7

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

NFL Standings/Outlook After Week Twelve

Twelve weeks of the NFL Season are in the books, and there are five amazing weeks left to go. The old saying is don't pay too much attention to the standings until Thanksgiving, and Thanksgiving is when the playoff race really starts. The last 5 weeks promise to be as exciting as ever, as I don't recall another season in which so many division races are so close. Only two divisions are really decided, New England and Indy, the other six are completely up for grabs. Here are a look at the divisions and the races

We have three two team races
1. NFC North: Green Bay, Detroit
2. NFC South: Atlanta, New Orleans
3. NFC East: Philly, Dallas

Plus a three team race in the NFC West and AFC West and a wide open four team race in the AFC North.

So with five games left for every team here are the playoff standings in each conference. By the way, the NFC South race is an absolute joke. The 4-7 Atlanta Falcons are in first place! This poor division will consequently inflate the records of the teams in the other three NFC divisions and as such its very likely a 10-6, or maybe even an 11-5 NFC team will be left out of the playoffs.

NFC
1. Arizona: 9-2
2. Green Bay: 8-3
3. Philadelphia: 8-3
4. Atlanta: 4-7
5. Dallas: 8-3
6. Seattle: 7-4
7. Detroit: 7-4
8. San Francisco: 7-4
9. Chicago: 5-6
10. New Orleans: 4-7
11. Minneapolis: 4-7
12. St Louis: 4-7
13. Carolina: 3-7-1
14. New York: 3-8
15. Washington: 3-8
16. Tampa Bay: 2-9

AFC
1. New England: 9-2
2.. Denver: 8-3
3. Cincinnati: 7-3-1
4. Indianapolis: 7-4
5. Kansas City: 7-4
6. San Diego: 7-4
7. Baltimore: 7-4
8. Pittsburgh: 7-4
9. Cleveland: 7-4
10. Miami: 6-5
11. Buffalo: 6-5
12. Houston: 5-6
13. Tennessee: 2-9
14. New York: 2-9
15. Jacksonville: 1-10
16. Oakland: 1-10

Sunday, November 23, 2014

NCAA Week 14 Picks

I went 4-3 in picking Big Ten games last week, and 2-1 Outside of it. We have approached the final week of the regular season before Championship Saturday. As usual, it is unbelievable to me how fast my favorite time of the year has flown by. This is my third year picking College football on this blog and it is always a blast every year and my favorite thing to do. This years rivalry weekend doesn't have the same amazing matchups we have seen in years past as traditional rivalries such as Auburn-Alabama, FSU-Florida, Ohio St-Michigan, and Oregon-Oregon St dont have the sizzle they usually do. However, games such as Arizona-Arizona St, Georgia-Georgia Tech, and Wisconsin-Minnesota have much more sizzle than in years past. Here are the picks followed by scenarios for conference championshps

81-24 Big Ten
37-12 Interconference Big Ten
23-16 Outside Big Ten

Nebraska @ Iowa: Pick: Iowa
Minnesota @ Wisconsin: Pick: Wisconsin
Illinois @ Northwestern: Pick: Northwestern
Purdue @ Indiana: Pick: Indiana
Michigan @ Ohio St: Pick: Ohio St
Michigan St @ Penn St: Pick: Michigan St
Rutgers @ Maryland: Pick: Maryland

As per what has become tradition the past couple years, I will double my outside the Big Ten picks from 3 games to 6 games.
Arizona St @ Arizona: Pick: Arizona St
Arkansas @ Missouri: Pick: Arkansas
Auburn @ Alabama: Pick: Alabama
Miss St @ Ole Miss: Pick: Miss St
Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Pick: Georgia
Notre Dame @ USC: Pick: USC

Here are the scenarios for each of the Power Five Conferences

Big Ten: The east as was the case last week is officially won by Ohio St. Thanks to Minnesota big upset of Nebraska, the West has turned into a play in game. The winner of the Wisconsin-Minnesota game will win the west and get to take on Ohio State.

ACC: Both Georgia Tech and Florida St have officially clinched their divisions as both take on non-conference rivals this week before their matchup in the ACC Championship. 

SEC: Neither division has been clinched going into the final weekend for the first time in a long time. In the east, if Missouri wins, they clinch the east for a second straight season. If they lose, its Georgia. By the way, an average Big 12 team coming into the SEC and winning their division two years in a row really puts a dent into the "SEC IS AMAZING!!!!' argument. But I digress. In the west, if Alabama takes care of business at home against Auburn then they will win the division. if they lose and Mississippi St wins, Miss St wins the division. If they both lose, Alabama wins the division.

Pac-12: Oregon has had their division wrapped up for an eternity, but their opponent has been very much in doubt, though UCLA's win over USC cleared things up a tad. there is currently a three way tie between Arizona St, Arizona, and UCLA. Since Arizona St and Arizona play each other, they can not finish in a three way tie, only two way, so things will come down to head to head. USC is officially eliminated. If UCLA loses then the winner of Arizona St-Arizona wins the division. If UCLA wins, they will win the division since they own the head to head tiebreaker against both Arizona and Arizona St.

Big 12: Unlike the other conferences, the Big 12 has no championship game, so their is two weeks left in its race, instead of just one. Baylor, TCU, and Kansas St are in a 3 way tie currently. With Kansas St and Baylor playing each other it will most likely finish in a two way tie between the winner of that game and TCU. TCU would lose the tiebreaker to Baylor, but win the tiebreaker to Kansas St. In other words Baylor is the one of the three teams that controls their destiny.

Two weeks before the playoff selection, buckle up.

Sunday, November 16, 2014

NCAA Week 13 Picks

I went 5-0 in interconference Big Ten games, 1-1 in Non conference big ten games, and 2-1 outside the Big Ten

77-21 Big Ten
33-9 Interconference Big Ten
21-15 Outside Big Ten

Penn St @ Illinois: Pick: Penn St
Indiana @ Ohio St: Pick: Ohio St
Minnesota @ Nebraska: Pick: Nebraska
Northwestern @ Purdue: Pick: Northwestern
Rutgers @ Michigan St: Pick: Michigan St
Maryland @ Michigan: Pick: Michigan
Wisconsin @ Iowa: Pick: Wisconsin

Outside the Big Ten
Ole Miss @ Arkansas: Pick: Ole Miss
USC @ UCLA: Pick: USC
Arizona @ Utah: Pick: Arizona

Big Ten Standings: Both division races are for the most part over even with two weeks left, as Wisconsin Vs Ohio St is pretty much set in stone. Even if Wisconsin loses to Iowa, a victory against Minnesota should be enough to clinch the division for them, and Ohio St will officially clinch with a win against Indiana this week. Wisconsin can officially clinch as well, with a win and a Minnesota loss.

East
1. Ohio St: 6-0
2. Michigan St: 5-1
3. Maryland: 3-3
4. Michigan: 3-3
5. Penn St: 2-4
6. Rutgers: 2-4
7. Indiana: 0-6

West
1. Wisconsin: 5-1
2. Nebraska: 4-2
3. Minnesota: 4-2
4. Iowa: 4-2
5. Northwestern: 2-4
6. Illinois: 1-5
7. Purdue: 1-5

How about the other conferences?
ACC: Florida St has officially clinched their division, the other was made interesting with Dukes upset loss to Virginie Tech. If Duke wins their final two games against North Carolina and Wake Forest, it will be them to challenge Florida St. If they lose either, it will be Georgia Tech.

SEC: In the east its fairly straightforward between Mizzou and Georgia. If Missouri wins their final two games at Tennessee and Vs Arkansas they will win the East, if they lose either, Georgia will win the east. In the west, if Alabama beats Auburn, they will win the west. If they lose to Auburn, Miss St will win the west, if they win their final two games. A three way tie between Ole Miss, Misst st and Bama is possible but not worth getting into because the way Auburn is playing Bama will most likely beat them.

Big 12: The Big 12 is still hazy because they have 3 weeks left in their race instead of 2 like every other conference. Their is currently a 3 way tie between TCU, Baylor and Kansas St. Baylor and Kansas St play each other in the final game. If TCU loses at all that game will be for the conference championship. If TCU wins out and Baylor beats Kansas St, Baylor wins the Big 12. if TCU wins out and Kansas St beats Baylor, TCU wins the Big 12. Kansas St can not win the Big 12 if TCU wins out.

Pac-12: Oregon has officially clinched their division, the other division is wild as their is currently a 4 way tie between USC, UCLA, Arizona and Arizona St. The four way tie is almost assuredly going to finish as a two way tie as USC and UCLA play each other as does Arizona and Arizona St. In that two way tie scenario head to head will will out. here are the 4 scenarios

USC beats UCLA and Arizona beats Arizona St: USC wins division
USC beats UCLA and Arizona St beats Arizona: Arizona St wins division
UCLA beats USC and Arizona beats Arizona St: UCLA wins division (as long as they go on to beat Stanford as well, if they lose to Stanford, Arizona wins division outright in this scenario)
UCLA Beats USC and Arizona St beats Arizona: UCLA wins division again as long as they beat stanford. If they lose Arizona St wins division outright.

Three weeks left, buckle up. 

Monday, November 10, 2014

NCAA Week 12 Picks

I went 3-2 in Big Ten games, and 2-1 outside it. Only 3 weeks left until the Conference Championships and there are still some great division races, particularly the Big Ten West and of course SEC West.

71-20 Big Ten
28-9 Interconference Big Ten
19-14 Outside Big Ten

Nebraska @ Wisconsin: Pick: Wisconsin
Iowa @ Illinois: Pick: Iowa
Ohio St @ Minnesota: Pick: Ohio St
Indiana @ Rutgers: Pick: Rutgers
Michigan St @ Maryland: Pick: Michigan St
Temple @ Penn St: Pick: Penn St
Northwestern @ Notre Dame: Pick: Notre Dame

Outside the Big Ten
Mississippi St @ Alabama: Pick: Alabama
Auburn @ Georgia: Pick: Auburn
Florida St @ Miami: Pick: Florida St

Big Ten Standings: The two division races really cleared up this weekend, thanks to Minnesotas and Ohio States wins. Minnesota's win pretty much knocked Iowa out of contention, and even though Minnesota remains tied with Nebraska and Wisconsin, their remaining schedule means they still probably dont have much of a chance at a division title. All of that means this weekends game between Nebraska and Wisconsin basically sets up as a winner take division game. Of course if Wisconsin beats Nebraska and then loses to Iowa, or Minnesota pulls off a shocker to Ohio St, then things could get wild. Ohio States win over Michigan St was basically a winner take all game too. The only way for Michigan St to win their division now is for them to win out and have Ohio St lose two of their last 3 games, an unlikely scenario.

West
1. Nebraska: 4-1
2. Wisconsin: 4-1
3. Minnesota: 4-1
4. Iowa: 3-2
5. Northwestern: 2-4
6. Illinois: 1-4
7. Purdue: 1-5

East
1. Ohio St: 5-0
2. Michigan St: 4-1
3. Maryland: 3-2
4. Michigan: 3-3
5. Penn St: 2-4
6. Rutgers: 1-4
7. Indiana: 0-5

Also a look at the SEC west race. This race which was supposed to be an all time great race had a wrench thrown into it with Texas A&Ms huge upset of Auburn. This pretty much eliminates Auburn and makes the race a little less crazy. The race will get REALLY anticlimactic and disappointing if Mississippi St beats Alabama, as that would practically clinch the division for them with two weeks left still.  If Alabama pulls their weight and wins however, it will be a crazy last couple weeks and also leave a sliver of hope for Auburn.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

NCAA Week Eleven Picks

Well, here we are. November has arrived and there are two undefeateds left and a bunch of one loss team fighting for their lives every week. There are a ton of great games to look forward to over these next four November Saturdays, including probably the premier big ten matchup of the season as Ohio St travels to Michigan St.

I went 5-1 in the Big Ten and 2-1 outside the Big Ten last week
68-18 Big Ten
25-7 Interconference Big Ten
17-13 Outside Big Ten

Wisconsin @ Purdue: Pick: Wisconsin
Penn St @ Indiana: Pick: Penn St
Iowa @ Minnesota: Pick: Iowa
Michigan @ Northwestern: Pick: Northwestern
Ohio St @ Michigan St: Pick: Ohio St

Outside Big Ten
Alabama @ LSU: Pick: Alabama
Kansas St @ TCU: Pick: TCU
Baylor @ Oklahoma: Pick: Oklahoma

Big Ten Standings
East
1. Michigan St: 4-0
2. Ohio St: 4-0
3. Maryland: 3-2
4. Michigan: 2-3
5. Penn St: 1-4 E
6. Rutgers: 1-4 E
7. Indiana: 0-4 E

West
1. Nebraska: 4-1
2. Iowa: 3-1
3. Wisconsin: 3-1
4. Minnesota: 3-1
5. Northwestern: 2-3
6. Illinois: 1-4
7. Purdue: 1-4