After last weeks dissapointing close call, Ive been chomping at the bit to see this Badgers team back in action to get a better sense of wether or not the first game was a fluke, or if the Badgers may not be as good as originally thought. For the second game of the season, the Badgers head west to take on Oregon st. I mentioned in my weeks two picks that since 1990, the Big Ten is just 6-30 in road games against the Pac-10, now Pac-12. Wisconsin does have one of those six wins, and they themselves have an overall record of 11-2 againt this conference over the past twenty years. The Badgers and Beavers met last year at Camp Randall, and Wisconsin delivered a drubbing, winning 35-0. Oregon st had its first game of the season last week postponed due to hurricane Isaac, and its hard to tell whether or not that will hurt Wisconsin. On one hand, Oregon st may have to shake off the rust the Badgers already shook off last week, on the other hand Oregon st has game tape of the badgers to study, while the badgers do not have the same luxury for their opponent.
Last year Oregon St went 3-9 and stumbled to their second straight Big Ten season. Analysts have critisized the Badgers in recent years for having weak non-conference schedule, but the reality is, nonconference games are scheduled 5-7 years in advance, theres no telling how good that teams going to be when you play them. Obviously in some cases you know your scheduling a weak school, like last year when the Badgers put Austin Peay on the schedule, but when Wisconsin scheduled Oregon St in back to back years, the beavers at the time were the best team in the Pac-10.
The Badgers have a clear advantage when it comes to the running game, as no back on the Oregon st roster has more than 100 career rushes under their belt. Danny O'Brien will look to improve off of last weeks economical effort that saw him throw for 219 yards. Minus the 53 yard touchdown pass, and O'Brien averaged 9.2 yards per completion last week. Under center for Oregon st will be Sophomore Sean Mannion. last year as a Freshman starter he three for 16 touchdowns and 18 interceptions.
The key matchup in the game to me will be the Oregon st receivers vs the Wisconsin defensive backs. Last week this unit for Wisconsin had an awful fourth quarter, and thats coming off an overall bad season for the secondary last year. Oregon States strongest position meanwhile, may very well be at receiver. Markus Wheaton caught 75 passes last year, averaging 13.5 yards per catch, and second receiver James Rodgers is entering his sixth and final season as an Oregon st receiver. He has averaged 44 receptions a season in a Beaver uniform. he has 19 career touchdown recpetions and has averaged 11.8 yards per catch over the five years.
The Badgers are favored by seven points by vegas, and ESPN accuscore gives them a 64.6 percent chance of winning, by an average of nine points. Prediction: though Oregon states biggest strength can exploit the Badgers biggest weakness, the Badgers huge advantage in the running game will be more than enough to propel them to victory. Wisconsin 34-20
Weather: 84 degrees, sunny
Friday, September 7, 2012
Thursday, September 6, 2012
Red Sox (63-75) Vs Blue Jays (61-75) series preview 9/8-9/10
It gives me no pleasure to be covering the Red Sox right now. I contemplated just ignoring them the rest of the season and putting the focus on the good teams I cover for the rest of the month. But since the Red Sox final twenty four games are all against divisonal opponents, I decided to cover these final eight series because winning season series against division opponents means a lot to me, and the Red Sox still have a chance to do that against all four of their division opponents. The Red Sox season has been nothing short of a soap opera this season. Just to recap:
Clay Buccholz was the worst starter in all of baseball through the first month and a half of the season. He became the first player in MLB history to give up at least five runs in eight straight starts to begin the season.
The Red Sox blew a 9-0 lead on April 15th against the Yankees.
Josh Becket skipped a start in May due to a "sore shoulder" and was seen golfing the next day. When confronted as to why he was golfing when he was supposedly injured he said, "I spend my off days the way I f*ing want to."
Kelly Shoppach used someone elses cellphone to anonymously send a hate text to manager Bobby Valentine. He admitted to it after he was traded to the Mets.
One of the greatest icons in Red Sox history passed away, and only four players elected to attended his funeral. Four, out of twenty five. This, in my opinion, was the most embarrassing story of the year so far.
And the most recent incident, yesterday, Bobby Valentine, in a radio interview, became so enraged with a question, told the host "if I was there right now Id punch you right in the mouth."
On July 19th, Cody Ross hit a walk off hone run to give the Red Sox their fifth win in seven games. They had a ton of monentum and at the time were just one game out of the playoffs. There was excitement in the air. Since that game the Red Sox are 15-30 and now have an overall record of 63-75. They have all but guaranteed themselves their worst record since 1996, and its very possible they end up with their worst record since 1966. Now that the season has been recapped, a preview of the upcoming Blue Jays series.
Game one: Henderson Alvarez (7-12, 5.04 ERA) Vs Felix Doubront (10-7, 5.03 ERA) Friday 7:10 PM
Felix Doubront was probably the feel good story of the first half of the season for the Sox. He came out of nowhere to win a spot in the rotation, and pitched very strongly for the first half of season. He seems to have hit a wall lately though, as his ERA since the all star break is 6.75. He hasnt pitched more than five innings in a start since July 29th. Henderson Alvarez also has an ERA over six since the all star break. This may be a high scoring game.
Game two: Ricky Romero (8-13, 5.85 ERA) Vs Daisuke Matsuzaka (1-4, 6.15 ERA) Saturday 7:10 PM
After a strong start against the Royals, Daisuke went back to his usual sucky self against Oakland, not getting out of the fourth inning, and giving up 6 Earned runs, and four walks. Ricky Romero has struggled mightily since June, with an ERA over eight in the past three months. The theme of this series so far is struggling pitchers.
Game three: Carlos Villanueva (7-5, 3.42 ERA) Vs Clay Buchholz (11-5, 4.47 ERA) Sunday 1:35 PM
Buchholz struggled to start the year, then returned to shutdown form in June and July, and has gone back to struggling over the last month. Former Brewer Carlos Villanueva may be the most consistent pitcher for the Jays right now.
The Sox currently have a one game lead over the Jays for last place in the division. The Blue Jays lead the season series 7-5 with six games to go. If theres one team thats struggled more than the Red Sox over the past month, its Toronto. Ill take the Sox to take two out of three.
Clay Buccholz was the worst starter in all of baseball through the first month and a half of the season. He became the first player in MLB history to give up at least five runs in eight straight starts to begin the season.
The Red Sox blew a 9-0 lead on April 15th against the Yankees.
Josh Becket skipped a start in May due to a "sore shoulder" and was seen golfing the next day. When confronted as to why he was golfing when he was supposedly injured he said, "I spend my off days the way I f*ing want to."
Kelly Shoppach used someone elses cellphone to anonymously send a hate text to manager Bobby Valentine. He admitted to it after he was traded to the Mets.
One of the greatest icons in Red Sox history passed away, and only four players elected to attended his funeral. Four, out of twenty five. This, in my opinion, was the most embarrassing story of the year so far.
And the most recent incident, yesterday, Bobby Valentine, in a radio interview, became so enraged with a question, told the host "if I was there right now Id punch you right in the mouth."
On July 19th, Cody Ross hit a walk off hone run to give the Red Sox their fifth win in seven games. They had a ton of monentum and at the time were just one game out of the playoffs. There was excitement in the air. Since that game the Red Sox are 15-30 and now have an overall record of 63-75. They have all but guaranteed themselves their worst record since 1996, and its very possible they end up with their worst record since 1966. Now that the season has been recapped, a preview of the upcoming Blue Jays series.
Game one: Henderson Alvarez (7-12, 5.04 ERA) Vs Felix Doubront (10-7, 5.03 ERA) Friday 7:10 PM
Felix Doubront was probably the feel good story of the first half of the season for the Sox. He came out of nowhere to win a spot in the rotation, and pitched very strongly for the first half of season. He seems to have hit a wall lately though, as his ERA since the all star break is 6.75. He hasnt pitched more than five innings in a start since July 29th. Henderson Alvarez also has an ERA over six since the all star break. This may be a high scoring game.
Game two: Ricky Romero (8-13, 5.85 ERA) Vs Daisuke Matsuzaka (1-4, 6.15 ERA) Saturday 7:10 PM
After a strong start against the Royals, Daisuke went back to his usual sucky self against Oakland, not getting out of the fourth inning, and giving up 6 Earned runs, and four walks. Ricky Romero has struggled mightily since June, with an ERA over eight in the past three months. The theme of this series so far is struggling pitchers.
Game three: Carlos Villanueva (7-5, 3.42 ERA) Vs Clay Buchholz (11-5, 4.47 ERA) Sunday 1:35 PM
Buchholz struggled to start the year, then returned to shutdown form in June and July, and has gone back to struggling over the last month. Former Brewer Carlos Villanueva may be the most consistent pitcher for the Jays right now.
The Sox currently have a one game lead over the Jays for last place in the division. The Blue Jays lead the season series 7-5 with six games to go. If theres one team thats struggled more than the Red Sox over the past month, its Toronto. Ill take the Sox to take two out of three.
Week two NCAA picks
Im in midseason form in terms of picking games. Last week I went 11-1 in picking Big Ten games, 13-2 overall. This is just the preaseason of picking games however, the real record Im keeping track of this year is picking games between two big ten teams, which starts September 27th. Pretty much every team in the Big ten has a tougher opponent this week than last week, as most play a BCS school. Lets get right into it.
New Hampshire at Minnesota: The Gophers won in overtime last week, and now face an FCS opponent, so a 2-0 is a legitimate possibility for this team. Theyre still in for a rough season, but for now they can feel good about back to back wins. Pick: Minnesota
UCF at Ohio St: Ill be cheering hard for Central Florida to take this one, and I do think they have a legitimate chance. I cant bring myself to pick them though, not in Columbus. Pick: Ohio St
Penn St at Virginia: Im not going to be fooled again, the Nittany Lions have a terrible offense, and wont be able to get a win on the road against a BCS team. Pick: Virginia
Purdue at Notre Dame: Purdue looked good in their opener, and Notre Dame has been known to lose home games as favorites early in the season the past few years. It will be close but Ill take the Irish. Pick: Notre Dame
Indiana at Massachusetts: I dont know a whole lot about Massachusetts, but I do a lot about Indiana, I know they are a terrible football team. They nearly lost to an FCS school last week, their next win wont be until next September at the earliest. Pick: Massachusetts
Air Force at Michigan: I told you last week, Michigan was very overrated coming into the year. After last week they are now ranked 19, which I think is much more appropriate. Since this game is in Ann Arbor, Ill give Michigan the nod to even their record. Pick: Michigan
Michigan St at Central Michigan: The Spartans looked like the best team in the Big ten last week, and moved ahead of Michigan and Wisconsin in the lastest poll to now be ranked as the highest team in the Big ten. They also have a easy win this week, so Sparty keeps rolling. Pick: Michigan st
Iowa St at Iowa: The cyclones beat Iowa last year, but the game takes place at Kinnick stadium this year, so Ill give Iowa the slight edge in this rivalry. Pick: Iowa
Nebraska at UCLA: Even though Michigan st looked like the best conference team last week, Nebraska put out the most dominating performance, amassing over 500 yards of offense, and a big showing from the defense. The Big ten is 6-30 on the road against the Pac-10 (Pac-12) in the past 22 years. I think theyll go 3-0 in those games this week, and this is the first. Pick: Nebraska
Vanderbilt at Northwestern: Both these teams played week one thrillers, and I think this will be a very close game. Maybe Im reading to much into the fact that Vandy almost beat a top ten team last week, but I was impressed and for that reason Im picking them here. Pick_ vanderbilt
Illinois at Arizona St: Another big ten at pac 12 game. This is probably my boldest pick of the season so far, but Im taking the Illini in a upset on the road. Pick: Illinois
Outside the Big ten
Georgia at Missouri: Pick: Georgia
Florida at Texas A&M: pick: Florida
Pittsburgh at Cincinatti: Pick: Cincinatti
New Hampshire at Minnesota: The Gophers won in overtime last week, and now face an FCS opponent, so a 2-0 is a legitimate possibility for this team. Theyre still in for a rough season, but for now they can feel good about back to back wins. Pick: Minnesota
UCF at Ohio St: Ill be cheering hard for Central Florida to take this one, and I do think they have a legitimate chance. I cant bring myself to pick them though, not in Columbus. Pick: Ohio St
Penn St at Virginia: Im not going to be fooled again, the Nittany Lions have a terrible offense, and wont be able to get a win on the road against a BCS team. Pick: Virginia
Purdue at Notre Dame: Purdue looked good in their opener, and Notre Dame has been known to lose home games as favorites early in the season the past few years. It will be close but Ill take the Irish. Pick: Notre Dame
Indiana at Massachusetts: I dont know a whole lot about Massachusetts, but I do a lot about Indiana, I know they are a terrible football team. They nearly lost to an FCS school last week, their next win wont be until next September at the earliest. Pick: Massachusetts
Air Force at Michigan: I told you last week, Michigan was very overrated coming into the year. After last week they are now ranked 19, which I think is much more appropriate. Since this game is in Ann Arbor, Ill give Michigan the nod to even their record. Pick: Michigan
Michigan St at Central Michigan: The Spartans looked like the best team in the Big ten last week, and moved ahead of Michigan and Wisconsin in the lastest poll to now be ranked as the highest team in the Big ten. They also have a easy win this week, so Sparty keeps rolling. Pick: Michigan st
Iowa St at Iowa: The cyclones beat Iowa last year, but the game takes place at Kinnick stadium this year, so Ill give Iowa the slight edge in this rivalry. Pick: Iowa
Nebraska at UCLA: Even though Michigan st looked like the best conference team last week, Nebraska put out the most dominating performance, amassing over 500 yards of offense, and a big showing from the defense. The Big ten is 6-30 on the road against the Pac-10 (Pac-12) in the past 22 years. I think theyll go 3-0 in those games this week, and this is the first. Pick: Nebraska
Vanderbilt at Northwestern: Both these teams played week one thrillers, and I think this will be a very close game. Maybe Im reading to much into the fact that Vandy almost beat a top ten team last week, but I was impressed and for that reason Im picking them here. Pick_ vanderbilt
Illinois at Arizona St: Another big ten at pac 12 game. This is probably my boldest pick of the season so far, but Im taking the Illini in a upset on the road. Pick: Illinois
Outside the Big ten
Georgia at Missouri: Pick: Georgia
Florida at Texas A&M: pick: Florida
Pittsburgh at Cincinatti: Pick: Cincinatti
Wednesday, September 5, 2012
2012 Green Bay Packers season Preview
The past five season have seen the Packers be among the most successful in the league. The Packers take aim at 2012 with a renewed sense of focus and drive, and are again among the favorites to take home the Lombardi trophy. To fully understand where the Packers stand this season we are going to start by recapping each of the past five Packers seasons.
2007: The Packers stun everybody by rolling to a 13-3 record, thanks to a rejuvenation of Brett Favres career. They fall in overtime in the NFC championship game thanks to a late interception from Favre, the last pass of his Packers career.
2008: Aaron Rodgers takes over QB duties and does a fine job for a first year starter. Unfortunately the defense doesnt do so hot, especially in fourth quarters. A five game losing streak, four of which coming on last minute drives, dooms the Packers to a 6-10 season.
2009: A tale of two seasons. The first half sees Aaron Rodgers get sacked an ungodly amount of times, The Packers being beaten by Brett favre twice, and heavily upset twice more, to take on a 4-4 record. The second half sees the Packers offense soar to record breaking heights, the o-line tighten up, and the D play well, at times. The team goes 7-2, a playoff loss included. The losses sees the defense put up staggeringly atrocious performances. Nonetheless, the good second half sets up a run for 2010.
2010: For the first time in 13 years, the Packers open the season as a top three super bowl favorite. However, a myriad of injuries, coupled with a crazy amount of heartbreaking last second losses, lead to the Packers being 8-6 and needing two wins to make the playoffs. They get those two wins, and roll through the playoffs en route to their fourth super bowl victory in team history. The defense is dominant from start to finish on the season, Only giving up more than 25 points two times in twenty games.
2011: The Packers are favorites to repeat, and the offense doesnt dissapoint. The second most lethal offense in NFL history puts up 34 points a game, 40 a game at home, leading to a 15-1 regular season. However, the defense is alarmingly bad, leading to a number of shootouts. compared to last year, they gave up more than 25 points seven times in seventeen games. They lose in the divisional round of the playoffs, in what was probably the worst game the Packers played since Favre beat them at Lambeau over two years ago.
That brings us to 2012, what follows is a position by position breakdown of what we can expect from our Packers this season.
Quartberback: Aaron Rodgers is arguably the greatest player in the NFL right now. He is coming off a season in which he set the record for best QB rating in a season, thanks in part to a staggeringly low interception total. With the same weapons as last year, another great year is rightfully expected. Another year with 40+ touchdowns and single digit interceptions is likely. Graham Harrell has backup duties for now, but his play worried many fans during the preseason. He did put up a sharp performance in the last game however, and he seems adequate at the position as long as the O-line gives him time.
Running Back: The Packers should have their most potent rushing attack since the 2004 season. 1,000 yard back Cedric Benson will be starting, and he will certainly help take the load off Rodgers. He may not get to 1,000, but expect 800-900, good enough for this offense. Behind him is Alex Green and James Starks. Starks dissapointed last year, but in a backup role may be effecient. Green will probably get limited reps. Fan Favorite John Kuhn will be resuming his fullback duties.
Wide Receivers: Jordy Nelson had a breakout season last year, getting 15 TD receptions. Hes on my gameday shirt this year, so hopefully another good year is on the horizon. Jennings returns as the number one receiver, and Randall Cobb is coming off an impressive rookie year, and should have an increased role this year. Donald Driver will have a more limited role, but is still a threat for a big game. And Jarrett Boykin currently holds the fifth receiver spot, hoping for a chance to make an impact.
Tight ends: After a dissapointing 2011, Jermichael Finley has been given a chance to come back to Green Bay and try to prove he can live up to the hype as one of the best tight ends in the game.With Andrew Quarless on the PUP list, Tom Crabtree should be number two on the tight end depth chart, giving him an increased role, and young guns DJ Williams and Ryan Taylor both have the potential to impress. Keep an eye on Williams, I think he has the potential to be the diamond in the rough that Thompson seems to find every year.
Offensive Line: Bryan Bulaga and Marshall Newhouse will man the guard positions. Its do or die time for both of these guys, as Bulaga has been adequate, but not first round pick adequate since his NFL debut, and Newhouse has been increasingly dissapointing. Josh Sitton and TJ Lang will take the Guard spots, and are about as reliable as guys you can have there. Free Agent signee Jeff Saturday wil have Center Duties this season, and is one of the top players in that position in the NFL.
Defensive Line: Ryan Pickett and CJ WIlson will man the inside, while First round pick Jerel Worthy will take Defensive End duties, hoping to fill a void the Packers had last year. BJ Raji will also be here, hoping to bounce back after a dissapointing 2011 season.
Linebackers: With Nick Perry being drafted and Jamari Lattimore stepping up, AJ Hawk has heard the message loud and clear that he needs to step up or he may lose his job. Clay Matthews returns hoping to return to a double digit sack nummber, but dont let that make you think he was ineffective last year despite the decreased sack total. he just found ways to help in other capacities.
Defensive Backs: With Charles Woodson moving to the secondary, its Tramon Williams time to shine as the number one corner. The Number two corner may be the overall weakness on the team, as it appears Jarrett Bush may be given a chance to start the season at this spot. Bush has been, at times, a disaster here in his time in Green Bay, but appears to have improved somewhat, judging by limited preseason action. If he cant fill the void, any number of players can step in, including Sam Shields, Davon House, or MD Jennings. Morgan Burnett returns to the free safety position.
Special teams: Mason Crosby returns to kick field goals, and he has been one of the most consistent guys in the league in doing so in his time in Green Bay. Tim Masthay returns to punting duties and is also one of the most reliable guys in the league at that position.
Now its time for the position power ranking, of the eight groups above, I will rank which units are the best, and which may be a weak point for the team this year.
8. Defensive Backs
7. Running Backs
6. Defensive Line
5. Offensive Line
4. Tight Ends
3. Linebackers
2. Wide Receivers
1. Quarterbacks
Taking a look at the Packers schedule, the first strecth of games is brutal. The Packers face one super bowl candidate right off the bat in the 49ers, then return three nights later to face another in the Chicago Bears. They then travel out West for a night game in Seattle, one of the most difficult environments to play in, then are faced with a short week to prepare for Drew Brees and the Saints. After this brutal four game swing, the Packers are dealt three straight road games, highlighted by a Sunday night game against another super bowl favorite in the Houston Texans. After the Houston games thing finally settle down; after a trip to St louis, the Pack have back to back games at Lambeau against much inferior teams Jacksonville and Arizona. Then a bye before two tough roadies against Detroit and the defending champion New York Giants. The december schedule is pretty favorable as it sees the Packers take on the Vikings twice, plus tennesse and Detroit both at Lambeau. The toughie in december is at Chicago, which could have major playoff implications.
Hopefully the Packers will rebound from last years playoff defeat and put together another great season. I see some predicting 16-0 for this team, and Id love that, but I dont think the schedule sets up very favorably for it. The old saying "its not who you play but when you play them" may be very true for the Packers here. Playing two tough teams in the Bears and Saints on short weeks could trip them up. Playing night road games in Houston and Seattle could trip them up. Getting the Giants off their bye could work against them. Only time will tell. et the games begin, and Go Pack Go!
2007: The Packers stun everybody by rolling to a 13-3 record, thanks to a rejuvenation of Brett Favres career. They fall in overtime in the NFC championship game thanks to a late interception from Favre, the last pass of his Packers career.
2008: Aaron Rodgers takes over QB duties and does a fine job for a first year starter. Unfortunately the defense doesnt do so hot, especially in fourth quarters. A five game losing streak, four of which coming on last minute drives, dooms the Packers to a 6-10 season.
2009: A tale of two seasons. The first half sees Aaron Rodgers get sacked an ungodly amount of times, The Packers being beaten by Brett favre twice, and heavily upset twice more, to take on a 4-4 record. The second half sees the Packers offense soar to record breaking heights, the o-line tighten up, and the D play well, at times. The team goes 7-2, a playoff loss included. The losses sees the defense put up staggeringly atrocious performances. Nonetheless, the good second half sets up a run for 2010.
2010: For the first time in 13 years, the Packers open the season as a top three super bowl favorite. However, a myriad of injuries, coupled with a crazy amount of heartbreaking last second losses, lead to the Packers being 8-6 and needing two wins to make the playoffs. They get those two wins, and roll through the playoffs en route to their fourth super bowl victory in team history. The defense is dominant from start to finish on the season, Only giving up more than 25 points two times in twenty games.
2011: The Packers are favorites to repeat, and the offense doesnt dissapoint. The second most lethal offense in NFL history puts up 34 points a game, 40 a game at home, leading to a 15-1 regular season. However, the defense is alarmingly bad, leading to a number of shootouts. compared to last year, they gave up more than 25 points seven times in seventeen games. They lose in the divisional round of the playoffs, in what was probably the worst game the Packers played since Favre beat them at Lambeau over two years ago.
That brings us to 2012, what follows is a position by position breakdown of what we can expect from our Packers this season.
Quartberback: Aaron Rodgers is arguably the greatest player in the NFL right now. He is coming off a season in which he set the record for best QB rating in a season, thanks in part to a staggeringly low interception total. With the same weapons as last year, another great year is rightfully expected. Another year with 40+ touchdowns and single digit interceptions is likely. Graham Harrell has backup duties for now, but his play worried many fans during the preseason. He did put up a sharp performance in the last game however, and he seems adequate at the position as long as the O-line gives him time.
Running Back: The Packers should have their most potent rushing attack since the 2004 season. 1,000 yard back Cedric Benson will be starting, and he will certainly help take the load off Rodgers. He may not get to 1,000, but expect 800-900, good enough for this offense. Behind him is Alex Green and James Starks. Starks dissapointed last year, but in a backup role may be effecient. Green will probably get limited reps. Fan Favorite John Kuhn will be resuming his fullback duties.
Wide Receivers: Jordy Nelson had a breakout season last year, getting 15 TD receptions. Hes on my gameday shirt this year, so hopefully another good year is on the horizon. Jennings returns as the number one receiver, and Randall Cobb is coming off an impressive rookie year, and should have an increased role this year. Donald Driver will have a more limited role, but is still a threat for a big game. And Jarrett Boykin currently holds the fifth receiver spot, hoping for a chance to make an impact.
Tight ends: After a dissapointing 2011, Jermichael Finley has been given a chance to come back to Green Bay and try to prove he can live up to the hype as one of the best tight ends in the game.With Andrew Quarless on the PUP list, Tom Crabtree should be number two on the tight end depth chart, giving him an increased role, and young guns DJ Williams and Ryan Taylor both have the potential to impress. Keep an eye on Williams, I think he has the potential to be the diamond in the rough that Thompson seems to find every year.
Offensive Line: Bryan Bulaga and Marshall Newhouse will man the guard positions. Its do or die time for both of these guys, as Bulaga has been adequate, but not first round pick adequate since his NFL debut, and Newhouse has been increasingly dissapointing. Josh Sitton and TJ Lang will take the Guard spots, and are about as reliable as guys you can have there. Free Agent signee Jeff Saturday wil have Center Duties this season, and is one of the top players in that position in the NFL.
Defensive Line: Ryan Pickett and CJ WIlson will man the inside, while First round pick Jerel Worthy will take Defensive End duties, hoping to fill a void the Packers had last year. BJ Raji will also be here, hoping to bounce back after a dissapointing 2011 season.
Linebackers: With Nick Perry being drafted and Jamari Lattimore stepping up, AJ Hawk has heard the message loud and clear that he needs to step up or he may lose his job. Clay Matthews returns hoping to return to a double digit sack nummber, but dont let that make you think he was ineffective last year despite the decreased sack total. he just found ways to help in other capacities.
Defensive Backs: With Charles Woodson moving to the secondary, its Tramon Williams time to shine as the number one corner. The Number two corner may be the overall weakness on the team, as it appears Jarrett Bush may be given a chance to start the season at this spot. Bush has been, at times, a disaster here in his time in Green Bay, but appears to have improved somewhat, judging by limited preseason action. If he cant fill the void, any number of players can step in, including Sam Shields, Davon House, or MD Jennings. Morgan Burnett returns to the free safety position.
Special teams: Mason Crosby returns to kick field goals, and he has been one of the most consistent guys in the league in doing so in his time in Green Bay. Tim Masthay returns to punting duties and is also one of the most reliable guys in the league at that position.
Now its time for the position power ranking, of the eight groups above, I will rank which units are the best, and which may be a weak point for the team this year.
8. Defensive Backs
7. Running Backs
6. Defensive Line
5. Offensive Line
4. Tight Ends
3. Linebackers
2. Wide Receivers
1. Quarterbacks
Taking a look at the Packers schedule, the first strecth of games is brutal. The Packers face one super bowl candidate right off the bat in the 49ers, then return three nights later to face another in the Chicago Bears. They then travel out West for a night game in Seattle, one of the most difficult environments to play in, then are faced with a short week to prepare for Drew Brees and the Saints. After this brutal four game swing, the Packers are dealt three straight road games, highlighted by a Sunday night game against another super bowl favorite in the Houston Texans. After the Houston games thing finally settle down; after a trip to St louis, the Pack have back to back games at Lambeau against much inferior teams Jacksonville and Arizona. Then a bye before two tough roadies against Detroit and the defending champion New York Giants. The december schedule is pretty favorable as it sees the Packers take on the Vikings twice, plus tennesse and Detroit both at Lambeau. The toughie in december is at Chicago, which could have major playoff implications.
Hopefully the Packers will rebound from last years playoff defeat and put together another great season. I see some predicting 16-0 for this team, and Id love that, but I dont think the schedule sets up very favorably for it. The old saying "its not who you play but when you play them" may be very true for the Packers here. Playing two tough teams in the Bears and Saints on short weeks could trip them up. Playing night road games in Houston and Seattle could trip them up. Getting the Giants off their bye could work against them. Only time will tell. et the games begin, and Go Pack Go!
Tuesday, September 4, 2012
Week 1 NFL picks
A new NFL season is finally upon us. It couldnt come soon enough after last years bitter playoff defeat for the Packers at the hands of the New York Giants. But enough about last season, this year promises to be another special season for the green and gold, and in just five short days, Ill be at Lambeau screaming my lungs out, hoping for another 1-0 start to the season for the pack. This post however, is not about the Packers, that comes later. This post is the first of my weekly picks segment, where I pick all the games in this weeks action. These will be straight up picks, not against the spread.
Cowboys at Giants: This is this years NFL kickoff game, and I honestly cant remember a less hyped kickoff game in recent memory, and I understand, because this game isnt all that appealing. Neither team made it to double digit wins last year, and unlike last years opening kickoff game, neither team is a popular pick to make the super bowl this year. Since the NFL started putting defending champions at home on Thursday night for the first game of the season, the defending champ is undefeated. Expect that continue for this year as well. Pick: Giants
Colts at Bears: The NFL schedule makers did the Packers no favors, by giving them a matchup in week one against a very physical team, before matching up against another physical team just four days later in the Bears. Chicago, meanwhile gets a break, as they essentially get a bye in week 1 before their matchup in Green Bay. Indy will be improved this year, and I think Andrew Luck will have a better rookie season than Cam Newton did last year, but it wont be nearly enough to beat the Bears in week 1, unfortunately. Pick: Bears
Eagles at Browns: After last years failure, many people are picking the Eagles to bounce back this year. On the opposite end, many people are again picking the Browns to be a doormat. I dont think the Eagles will make a super bowl run like some do, but I do expect them to start 1-0. pick: Eagles
Rams at Lions: After a sophmore slump last year, Sam Bradford should rebound for a nice season this year. But the Lions are a tough opening test. I pegged detroit to have a 9-7 record this year, a decline, from last year, bu I still think theyll take this one. Pick: Lions
Patriots at Titans: The Patriots have been blessed with an unbelievably easy schedule this year. The titans are no pushover, they may put up a fight, but they wont be able to keep up for a full sixty minutes. Pick: Patriots
Falcons at Chiefs: One of the toughest games of the week to pick, both of these teams are popular picks to win their divisions after dissapointing campaigns in 2011. In a very close call, Im taking the Chiefs, but I think Atlanta ends up with the better record after sixteen games. Pick: Chiefs
Jaguars at Vikings: Another tough game to pick, because no one knows just how bad these teams are. Some are predicitng aanother 3-13 year for the Vikes, and as much as Id love that, I picked them win six, as I think they have the talent to pull off a better season than last. The Jags offense is god awful, which is why I think the Vikes will win, Jacksonville doesnt have the weapons to expose Minnesota weakness, their secondary.
Redskins at Saints; This is the Penn state of NFL openers. After a tumultous offseason, a team starts the year at home with an emotional and angry team and fanbase fueling them. I picked penn state to win and they let me down, but that wont scare me away from picking New Orleans against an inferior oponent. Pick: Saints
Bills at Jets: The Jets were so bad in preseason, I may have to revise my picks and put them in last place behind the Dolphins in their division. The bills meanwhile, look to recapture that magic they had in the first few games of the year in 2011. I expect the Jets will still be a mess, and Buffalo will take advantage. Pick: Bills
Dolphins at Texans: Had it not been for Matt Schaubs injury last year, Houston may have made the super bowl instead of the Pats. They have just as good a shot to make that run this year, with a defense among the leagues best. Meanwhile, the Dolphins, well they are in for another year of rebuilding. Pick: Texans
Seahawks at Cardinals: The Cardinals were second only to the Jets in embarrassingly messy preseasons. Apparently John Skelton will be starting, which is really all you need to know, but well go on because the Seahawks QB situation is the most intriguing thing outside of Green Bay to me this year. Matt flynn was signed to a big contract, but rookie Russel Wilson made such a big impact, he was given the nod in the opener. This could be a good thing for the Seahawks, or an example of the typical cliche, when you have two quarterbacks, you dont have any. Luckily, they have a pushover in week one. Pick: Seahawks
Panthers at Buccanneers: The Buccaneers were a darkhorse pick to make the postseason last year and failed tremendously. This the Panthers are that team being picked by many to sneak into the tourny. This game is a tough call, as the Buccaneers over the past few years have overachieved greatly with low expectaton, and underachieved greatly with high expectations. History says this could be a good year for them, but Ill still Cam for the win. Pick: Panthers
Steelers at Broncos: Peyton Manning makes his return on an NFL field, against one of the powerhouse defenses in the NFL. This should be a great game, but Ill give the sligh nod the Pittsburgh, as Peyton still wil be a tad rusty. Pick: Steelers
Bengals at Ravens: The Benagls surprised everybody by winning ten games and making the playoffs. The Ravens finally got over the hump by winning their division and coming within three points of the superbowl. What no one really like to talk about is how the Bengals didnt have a single quality win last year, they won ten by beating weak teams, and losing to the good ones. Pick: Ravens
Chargers at Raiders: This game is a big yawn for me. Neither of these two teams inspire much excitement in me, but I do expect the Chargers to bounce back a bit this year. Not enough to make a super bowl run, but enough to start the year with a win. Pick: Chargers
Week 1 survivor pick: Philadelphia Eagles
Packers season preview coming tomorrow, week 2 NCAA picks on Thursday, Badger week 2 preview Friday, Packer week 1 preview Saturday. Also on Thursday night, Ill preview the Red Sox three game set over the weekend against the Blue Jays. I cant ignore them forever, though Id love to.
Cowboys at Giants: This is this years NFL kickoff game, and I honestly cant remember a less hyped kickoff game in recent memory, and I understand, because this game isnt all that appealing. Neither team made it to double digit wins last year, and unlike last years opening kickoff game, neither team is a popular pick to make the super bowl this year. Since the NFL started putting defending champions at home on Thursday night for the first game of the season, the defending champ is undefeated. Expect that continue for this year as well. Pick: Giants
Colts at Bears: The NFL schedule makers did the Packers no favors, by giving them a matchup in week one against a very physical team, before matching up against another physical team just four days later in the Bears. Chicago, meanwhile gets a break, as they essentially get a bye in week 1 before their matchup in Green Bay. Indy will be improved this year, and I think Andrew Luck will have a better rookie season than Cam Newton did last year, but it wont be nearly enough to beat the Bears in week 1, unfortunately. Pick: Bears
Eagles at Browns: After last years failure, many people are picking the Eagles to bounce back this year. On the opposite end, many people are again picking the Browns to be a doormat. I dont think the Eagles will make a super bowl run like some do, but I do expect them to start 1-0. pick: Eagles
Rams at Lions: After a sophmore slump last year, Sam Bradford should rebound for a nice season this year. But the Lions are a tough opening test. I pegged detroit to have a 9-7 record this year, a decline, from last year, bu I still think theyll take this one. Pick: Lions
Patriots at Titans: The Patriots have been blessed with an unbelievably easy schedule this year. The titans are no pushover, they may put up a fight, but they wont be able to keep up for a full sixty minutes. Pick: Patriots
Falcons at Chiefs: One of the toughest games of the week to pick, both of these teams are popular picks to win their divisions after dissapointing campaigns in 2011. In a very close call, Im taking the Chiefs, but I think Atlanta ends up with the better record after sixteen games. Pick: Chiefs
Jaguars at Vikings: Another tough game to pick, because no one knows just how bad these teams are. Some are predicitng aanother 3-13 year for the Vikes, and as much as Id love that, I picked them win six, as I think they have the talent to pull off a better season than last. The Jags offense is god awful, which is why I think the Vikes will win, Jacksonville doesnt have the weapons to expose Minnesota weakness, their secondary.
Redskins at Saints; This is the Penn state of NFL openers. After a tumultous offseason, a team starts the year at home with an emotional and angry team and fanbase fueling them. I picked penn state to win and they let me down, but that wont scare me away from picking New Orleans against an inferior oponent. Pick: Saints
Bills at Jets: The Jets were so bad in preseason, I may have to revise my picks and put them in last place behind the Dolphins in their division. The bills meanwhile, look to recapture that magic they had in the first few games of the year in 2011. I expect the Jets will still be a mess, and Buffalo will take advantage. Pick: Bills
Dolphins at Texans: Had it not been for Matt Schaubs injury last year, Houston may have made the super bowl instead of the Pats. They have just as good a shot to make that run this year, with a defense among the leagues best. Meanwhile, the Dolphins, well they are in for another year of rebuilding. Pick: Texans
Seahawks at Cardinals: The Cardinals were second only to the Jets in embarrassingly messy preseasons. Apparently John Skelton will be starting, which is really all you need to know, but well go on because the Seahawks QB situation is the most intriguing thing outside of Green Bay to me this year. Matt flynn was signed to a big contract, but rookie Russel Wilson made such a big impact, he was given the nod in the opener. This could be a good thing for the Seahawks, or an example of the typical cliche, when you have two quarterbacks, you dont have any. Luckily, they have a pushover in week one. Pick: Seahawks
Panthers at Buccanneers: The Buccaneers were a darkhorse pick to make the postseason last year and failed tremendously. This the Panthers are that team being picked by many to sneak into the tourny. This game is a tough call, as the Buccaneers over the past few years have overachieved greatly with low expectaton, and underachieved greatly with high expectations. History says this could be a good year for them, but Ill still Cam for the win. Pick: Panthers
Steelers at Broncos: Peyton Manning makes his return on an NFL field, against one of the powerhouse defenses in the NFL. This should be a great game, but Ill give the sligh nod the Pittsburgh, as Peyton still wil be a tad rusty. Pick: Steelers
Bengals at Ravens: The Benagls surprised everybody by winning ten games and making the playoffs. The Ravens finally got over the hump by winning their division and coming within three points of the superbowl. What no one really like to talk about is how the Bengals didnt have a single quality win last year, they won ten by beating weak teams, and losing to the good ones. Pick: Ravens
Chargers at Raiders: This game is a big yawn for me. Neither of these two teams inspire much excitement in me, but I do expect the Chargers to bounce back a bit this year. Not enough to make a super bowl run, but enough to start the year with a win. Pick: Chargers
Week 1 survivor pick: Philadelphia Eagles
Packers season preview coming tomorrow, week 2 NCAA picks on Thursday, Badger week 2 preview Friday, Packer week 1 preview Saturday. Also on Thursday night, Ill preview the Red Sox three game set over the weekend against the Blue Jays. I cant ignore them forever, though Id love to.
Monday, September 3, 2012
Badgers hang on 26-21 in season opener
Im a little late in getting a recap of this game, but better late than never right? Well, not if your Northern Iowa, whose offense waited for about 43 minutes to show up in this game, and it ended up being just a little to late. The Wisconsin offense started out slow, like I predicted, but never got the train rolling like I thought they would. There first few drives were slow and methodical, but they couldnt finish them off at first, which led to a paltry 6-0 lead as the first half winded down. Finally, in the two minute offense, O' Brien led a good drive and threw a ten yard touchdown pass to Jared Abbredaris to give the Badgers a 13-0 halftime lead. The Badgers came out firing in the third quarter with another long drive, capped by a one yard touchdown run by Montee Ball, and a 19-0 lead, as the PAT try was blocked.
At this point it appeared the Badgers were rolling to a season opening win, like they should have against an FCS opponent, but Northern Iowa fought back. They got across the 50 yard line for the first time in the game with three minutes left in the third, and continued to march thanks to a couple third down conversion attempts, and found the endzone to cut the Badger lead to 19-7 with one quarter left.
Wisconsin came right back punching in the fourth, finally finding that big play everyone at Camp Randall had been waiting for all day. That big play was a 53 yard touchdown pass again to Jared Abbredaris and a 26-7 Badger lead with just 12:31 remaining. game over, right? well from here the Badgers nearly melted down. Northern Iowa marched down the field with ease, scoring a touchdown in just over a minute, to cut the lead to 26-14. Then a short Badger drive, led to another way to easy touchdown drive for the Panthers and all of a sudden the lead was just 26-21 with half of the fourth quarter remaining. The badgers followed this up with a three and out, and the Panthers got the ball back with a chance to take the lead with over five minutes remaining. Northern Iowa converted a couple long third downs on the drive, and even crossed the fifty, petrifying badger fans everywhere, but the drive finally stalled with a tipped pass on a 4th and 1, and the Badgers got the ball back, and Montee Ball helped the Badgers run out the clock. 1-0. Some observations from the game
Despite having an explosive offense last year, the defense, especially the secondary left a lot to be desired, and those concerns werent extinguished yesterday. Northern Iowa made the defense look silly in the fourth quarter. This unit will have to improve if the Badgers will have another special season.
O'brien was solid. he completed 19 of 23 passes, and even though most of the throws were conservative, hes still going to fit in nicely with this offense. Dont expect the Badgers to put up 44 points a game again, but expect 35-40 by the time its all said and done.
Montee Ball was less than stellar. With only 12, or 13 games in a season, one bad game can ruin hesiman hopes. Ball averaged less than four yards a carry, and never broke one big. It doesnt ruin his chances, but a couple more games like that and his chances will start to slowly fade away.
Jared Abbredaris had six receptions for 84 yards and two touchdown receptions. I expect him to be one of the top receivers in the big ten all season and possibly a difference maker in some games. Hes the real deal.
There were no turnovers on either side in this game, but a few forced fumbles. The Badgers have an extremely talented linebacker corps, so expect a plethora of those forced fumbles this year.
Wisconsin converted 9-16 third downs and only allowed the Panthers to convert 3-11, though all of these conversions came at crucial points in the game. The Badgers converted their only fourth down attempt, and Northern Iowa converted two of three.
I went 11-1 in picking Big ten games this week, only missing out on Ohio-Penn state. I went 2-1 in picking outside games, missing on Clemson-Auburn.
Up Next: The Badgers head to Corvallis to take on Oregon State. I think I speak for everyone when I say Im happy the Badgers will get a true road game under their belt before Big ten play starts. As everyone knows, last year their first road game wasnt until October 22nd, and I think that hurt them. The Badgers went 2-2 in road games last year, and really struggled against clearly inferior opponents in the two games they won. Hopefully and early road game this year will help. the game time is 1:00 local time. And finally, one thing well be keeping track of all season..
Montee Ball touchdown counter: 1
At this point it appeared the Badgers were rolling to a season opening win, like they should have against an FCS opponent, but Northern Iowa fought back. They got across the 50 yard line for the first time in the game with three minutes left in the third, and continued to march thanks to a couple third down conversion attempts, and found the endzone to cut the Badger lead to 19-7 with one quarter left.
Wisconsin came right back punching in the fourth, finally finding that big play everyone at Camp Randall had been waiting for all day. That big play was a 53 yard touchdown pass again to Jared Abbredaris and a 26-7 Badger lead with just 12:31 remaining. game over, right? well from here the Badgers nearly melted down. Northern Iowa marched down the field with ease, scoring a touchdown in just over a minute, to cut the lead to 26-14. Then a short Badger drive, led to another way to easy touchdown drive for the Panthers and all of a sudden the lead was just 26-21 with half of the fourth quarter remaining. The badgers followed this up with a three and out, and the Panthers got the ball back with a chance to take the lead with over five minutes remaining. Northern Iowa converted a couple long third downs on the drive, and even crossed the fifty, petrifying badger fans everywhere, but the drive finally stalled with a tipped pass on a 4th and 1, and the Badgers got the ball back, and Montee Ball helped the Badgers run out the clock. 1-0. Some observations from the game
Despite having an explosive offense last year, the defense, especially the secondary left a lot to be desired, and those concerns werent extinguished yesterday. Northern Iowa made the defense look silly in the fourth quarter. This unit will have to improve if the Badgers will have another special season.
O'brien was solid. he completed 19 of 23 passes, and even though most of the throws were conservative, hes still going to fit in nicely with this offense. Dont expect the Badgers to put up 44 points a game again, but expect 35-40 by the time its all said and done.
Montee Ball was less than stellar. With only 12, or 13 games in a season, one bad game can ruin hesiman hopes. Ball averaged less than four yards a carry, and never broke one big. It doesnt ruin his chances, but a couple more games like that and his chances will start to slowly fade away.
Jared Abbredaris had six receptions for 84 yards and two touchdown receptions. I expect him to be one of the top receivers in the big ten all season and possibly a difference maker in some games. Hes the real deal.
There were no turnovers on either side in this game, but a few forced fumbles. The Badgers have an extremely talented linebacker corps, so expect a plethora of those forced fumbles this year.
Wisconsin converted 9-16 third downs and only allowed the Panthers to convert 3-11, though all of these conversions came at crucial points in the game. The Badgers converted their only fourth down attempt, and Northern Iowa converted two of three.
I went 11-1 in picking Big ten games this week, only missing out on Ohio-Penn state. I went 2-1 in picking outside games, missing on Clemson-Auburn.
Up Next: The Badgers head to Corvallis to take on Oregon State. I think I speak for everyone when I say Im happy the Badgers will get a true road game under their belt before Big ten play starts. As everyone knows, last year their first road game wasnt until October 22nd, and I think that hurt them. The Badgers went 2-2 in road games last year, and really struggled against clearly inferior opponents in the two games they won. Hopefully and early road game this year will help. the game time is 1:00 local time. And finally, one thing well be keeping track of all season..
Montee Ball touchdown counter: 1
Saturday, September 1, 2012
Week 1: Wisconsin Badgers (0-0) Vs Northern Iowa Panthers (0-0) 2:30 PM
A new season is finally underway in madtown Saturday as the Badgers begin their season against an FCS opponent in Northern Iowa. The Badgers are coming off a season in which they had a record setting offense, a heisman trophy finalist, won a second straight big ten title, and lost their second consecutive Rose Bowl. The Badgers return that heisman finalist, and with Penn St and Ohio St ineligble, the Badgers are a very safe bet to at least return to a second straight Big ten championship game and win the Leaders Division again.
Despite being an FCS opponent, Northern Iowa is no slouch. They nearly defeated two BCS opponents last year, and are ranked in the top 10 at their level in the preseason poll. Wisconsin has not lost at home since 2009, and hasnt lost a nonconference regular season game since 2003, the second longest streak in the nation.
Its certainly good to have football back in mad town. Montee Ball should have another great season, but I find it hard to believe theyll be as impressive as last year. It may not have to be though, I think at the very least the Badgers will be back in Indy for the Big ten championship game, but I also think the skies the limit, and a run at the national title is not out of the question. One game at a time though, and Northern Iowa is a decent test to start the season.
Prediction: Despite being one of the best FCS teams in the country, the Badgers speed and size is simply to much, especially at Camp Randall, where the Badgers have made a habit of slaughtering inferior opponents. It may start slow, but at some point the Badgers will get the train rolling. Badgers 49 Panthers 13
Weather: 85 degrees, 30% chance of rain.
Despite being an FCS opponent, Northern Iowa is no slouch. They nearly defeated two BCS opponents last year, and are ranked in the top 10 at their level in the preseason poll. Wisconsin has not lost at home since 2009, and hasnt lost a nonconference regular season game since 2003, the second longest streak in the nation.
Its certainly good to have football back in mad town. Montee Ball should have another great season, but I find it hard to believe theyll be as impressive as last year. It may not have to be though, I think at the very least the Badgers will be back in Indy for the Big ten championship game, but I also think the skies the limit, and a run at the national title is not out of the question. One game at a time though, and Northern Iowa is a decent test to start the season.
Prediction: Despite being one of the best FCS teams in the country, the Badgers speed and size is simply to much, especially at Camp Randall, where the Badgers have made a habit of slaughtering inferior opponents. It may start slow, but at some point the Badgers will get the train rolling. Badgers 49 Panthers 13
Weather: 85 degrees, 30% chance of rain.
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