Monday, September 1, 2014

NCAA Week Two Picks

I went 12-2 in Big Ten Games and 2-1 outside it in week one. 10 week one observations

1. Texas A&M may be a legitimate SEC West contender.
2. Speaking of that, the SEC West race should be wild this year. There are 5 contenders with only Miss St and Arkansas not being in the mix. Expect no one to escape that meat grinder unscathed, especially if Alabams struggles against a weak WVU team are a true indicator of that team's ability.
3. Florida may be the biggest challenger to Georgia for the SEC East. That is based entirely on how bad South Carolina looked and not at all on how Florida looked since they didnt look like anything.
4. Trendy Pick UCLA looked downright horrendous offensively. I understand this is the first week in a sport without preseason so teams sometimes tend to look less than their best, and the fact UCLA was traveling cross country could also have played a factor, but still, the complete offensive ineptitude is concerning, especially since UCLA will have to put up plenty of points to have any chance of beating Oregon.
5. Three top 25 teams lost opening weekend, and one has, in my opinion, already bowed out of the National Championship race. That team would be Wisconsin, whose schedule is so weak that even running the table from this point forward would probably not be enough. Clemson still has a chance based on the fact Florida St is still on their schedule. South Carolina, by being in the SEC also still has a chance.
6. Speaking of Wisconsin, the last 25 minutes of that game for them was absolutely brutal. Melvin Gordon only getting three second half carries, especially given the situation, with the team being ahead  by multiple possessions and having a quarterback who couldnt throw anything, is inexcusable.
7. And speaking of Florida St, things may not be as easy for them as many thought. We have seen in the past some teams fold under the pressure of having the target on their back.  Only time will tel if FSU will be one of those teams.
8. The most impressive unranked teams this week were Oklahoma St and Tennessee. A couple of teams worth watching to see if they are actually good teams.
9. Ohio St is probably not a top 5 team without Braxton Miller. They really struggled against Navy, its going to be tough to compete against Michigan St plus a trip into Penn St this year also looms.
10. The Playoff is going to make this College Football more fun than ever. My Playoff prediction after week one is #2Georgia vs #3 Michigan St and #1 Florida St Vs #4 Oklahoma.

Now for the picks
Western Illinois @ Wisconsin: Pick: Wisconsin
Western Kentucky @ Illinois: Pick: Illinois
McNeese St @ Nebrasa: Pick: Nebraska
Akron @ Penn St: Pick: Penn St
Central Michigan @ Purdue: Pick: Purdue
Howard @ Rutgers: Pick: Rutgers
Northern Illinois @ Northwestern: Pick: Northwestern
Middle Tennessee @ Minnesota: Pick: Minnesota
Ball St @ Iowa: Pick: Iowa
Maryland @ South Florida: Pick: Maryland
Michigan St @ Oregon: Pick: Michigan St
Michigan @ Notre Dame: Pick: Notre Dame
Virginia Tech @ Ohio St: Pick: Ohio St

Outside the Big Ten
USC @ Stanford: Pick: Stanford
BYU @ Texas: Pick: Texas
Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt: Pick: Ole Miss

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