Sunday, October 21, 2012

NCAA week 9 picks

I wnt 4-1 in picking Big Ten games last week, now standing at an impressive 17-3 on the season.  I wonder if I was drunk when I picked my non big ten games though, I went 0-3 in those contests, and I honestly am not sure what I was thinking on a couple of them. Oh well, 14-10 in non Big ten games on the year.

Iowa at Northwestern: Pick: Northwestern
Indiana at Illinois: Pick: Indiana
Purdue at Minnesota: Pick: Purdue
Michigan st at Wisconsin: Pick: Wisconsin
Ohio st at Penn st: Pick: Ohio st
Michigan at Nebraska: Pick: Nebraska

Wow, those are all really tough games, it will be interesting to see how I do this week in my picks.

Outside the Big ten

Florida at Georgia: Pick: Florida
Notre Dame at Oklahoma: Pick: Oklahoma
Texas Tech at Kansas St: Pick: Kansas st

Big ten standings: Well, the legends division, which was a five team race going into the week, is now a four team race with Michigan st bowing out, and Northwestern and Iowa are both on the brink of bowing out themselves. It looked for a second like Purdue may actually throw themselves back into the conversation but then faltered against Ohio st and the Badgers now have a huge amount of seperation in what appears to be an inseperable lead. Who would have thought Michigan st would be out of it just halfway through the Big ten season? The official magic number for them to be eliminated is already down to two.

Legends division
1. Michigan (3-0)
2. Nebraska (2-1)
3. Iowa (2-1)
4. Northwestern (2-2)
5. Michigan st (1-3)
6. Minnesota (0-3)

Leaders division
1. Wisconsin (3-1)
2. Purdue (0-3)
3. Illinois (0-3)
4. Indiana (0-3)

The magic number for Purdue and Illinois to be eliminated is two, and for Indiana it is three.

Looking at the national picture, Kansas st, Rutgers, Louisville, Notre Dame, Ohio, Oregon, Oregon st, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi st, and Ohio st are the remaining undefeated teams. When will these teams lose? lets take a look.

Kansas st has five matchups left against top 30 teams, but the highest ranked of the bunch is against number 17 texas tech. At TCU may be their hardest game left.

Rutgers plays Louisville this week in a game that will eliminate one of those unbeaten

Notre Dame has games at Oklahoma and USC, they wont win both, if either

Ohio isnt a BCS team, nor a legitimate championsip threat

Oregon will go undefeated, at least until the Pac 12 championship

Oregon st will lose to Oregon in late November

Florida will be unbeaten until they play FSU. If they get past that, they wont beat Bama in the sec championship game

Bama will go unbeaten through the regular season

Miss St will lose to Alabama this week

Ohio st is ineligble

Of the 11 teams, I see no way Notre Dame, Florida, Oregon st, or Mississippi st finish undefeated.

Ohio and Ohio st wont be in the championship game even if they do go undefeated.

No Big East will make the championship game

So in my humble opinion, the only team that can disrupt an oregon-Bama championship is Kansas st. Unless Oregon loses to USC in either the regular season or the PAC 12 championship game. Then we may have chaos on our hands.

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